The world is currently undergoing a transition between the third and fourth structural transformation in global energy. This entails the global economy becoming more heavily reliant on natural gas, whilst simultaneously trying to move away from fossil fuels to low carbon energy sources. Within this scenario there are geopolitical winners and losers. The US has undergone a 'shale revolution' and is lurching towards North American energy independence. Indeed, over the last decade the US has become the largest oil and gas producer in the world, and in January 2022 the US exported more Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) to Europe than delivered through Russian pipelines. This is a direct threat to Russian interests in Europe, and can help explain the timing of the Russian invasion of Ukraine; whereby Russian influence in Europe had peaked and already expected to wane before the war with Ukraine. Simultaneously, rising US energy power, is leading to a detachment from traditional Gulf alliances that have sought close relations with Russia over the last decade whilst attempting to diversify their own economies. This lecture explores the complex adaptive nature of this web of interdependence and its implications on today’s crises and tomorrows geopolitical landscape.
Join the Centre for International Policy Studies for an important webinar open to everyone. Please note, this event is scheduled to take place online and all timings mentioned refer to UK time.
Dr Oz Hassan FHEA FRSA is an associate professor of US national security in the Politics and International Studies Department at the University of Warwick. His current research project, led by George Washington University Qatar, looks at the role of global energy in geopolitics focusing on the complex relationships between the US, UK, Russia and the Gulf. Dr Hassan is a former visiting scholar on the Democracy and Rule of Law programme at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington D.C, and a visiting fellow at the John W. Kluge Centre at the Library of Congress. He has worked as a research fellow on multiple EU Funded FP7 projects carrying out research on EU counter-terrorism and counter-proliferation policy.
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